It’s finally here! Stocks higher as Donald Trump and Xi Jinping to meet at the Group of 20 summit…….

by John Knobel

Investors have been waiting for US and China presidents meeting

Most Asian; European and US Stocks trending higher....but can the uptrend continue?

Time to enter or exit?

Market Drivers

  • G-20 Summit; over the weekend global leaders and central bank governors from 19 countries and the European Union will meet for a G-20 Summit in Japan starting on Friday and will continue until Saturday (June 28 -29); Traders and investors will be keeping a close eye on a potential meeting between U.S. President Donald Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping for fresh signals on the direction of the trade war; Monday morning Asian opening session will set the tone for European and American markets next week;

 

  • European stock markets have recovered last 30 days; Eurostoxx 50 Index + 3.52%; French CAC40 +4.7%; Italian MIB +3.8%; Spanish IBEX +0.74%; German DAX + 2.4% this month on hopes that lower interest rates across the US and EU and a positive outcome from the US-China trade talks will keep stock markets pushing forward;

 

  • European carmakers, such as BMW; Peugeot, Volvo and Ferrari are most sensitive European industry within the US versus the world trade war; BMW +1.7%; Peugeot +7%;  Volvo +6.45%; Ferrari +10% all higher last 30 days on speculation positive trade deal outcomes;

 

  • UK FTSE 100 benefiting from higher metals and energy prices as many of the worlds largest commodities producers are listed on the London stock exchange; FTSE 100 +2.34% last 30 days;

 

  • Crude Oil +3.7% last 5 days after the US reported a drop in Crude Oil Inventories; price of WTI (CL) jumped to near the $60.50 resistance level before pulling back; current price $59.10; upside momentum remains intact however $60.50 needs to be cleared in order to keep further upside momentum going; support has been move higher from $53.50 to  $56.60

 

  • USD/JPY in multi-month downtrend; however signs of trend reversal indicated; recent demand for safety  in the Japan YEN and increased prospects that the USD will weaken on US interest rate cuts has supported a stronger YEN over the previous months; however, RSI indicator is warning of a potential downtrend reversal higher; current price 108.14; potential upside seen at 108.70; while downside near the 105.35 support;

 

Source: FXGM / Bloomberg