Market Review 03 April 2020

by Constantinos Loizou

  • In today’s Economic calendar we can expect some volatility in the EUR and USD
  • At 09:00 (GMT), the Eurostat will release the Retail Sales for the Eurozone
  • Those figures show the performance of the retail sector in the short term
  • The result is forecasted to remain unchanged, same as the previous month at 1.7%
  • At 12:30 (GMT), the Bureau of Labor Statistics of the USA will release the Nonfarm Payrolls for the previous month
  • Those figures reflects how many new jobs were created during the previous month, in all non-agricultural businesses.
  • The result is forecasted to decrease to -100K considering that last month’s result was at 273K
  • At 12:30 (GMT), the Bureau of Labor Statistics of the USA will announce their Average Hourly Earnings
  • Those figures are important indicators for labor cost inflation
  • The result is forecasted to remain unchanged, same as the previous month at 3%
  • At 12:30 (GMT), the Bureau of Labor Statistics of the USA will release their Unemployment Rate Figures
  • The result is forecasted to increase to 3.8%, considering that last month’s result was at 3.5%
  • At 14:00 (GMT), the Institute for Supply Management of USA will release their ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI
  • Those figures show the business Conditions in the USA non-manufacturing sector
  • The result is forecasted to decrease to 44, considering that last month was at 57.3

 

On the Charts

 

  • The Euro Stoxx 50 Index price is now at 2630
  • On the 4 hourly chart, the price had broken below the upward trading channel
  • For the time being the price is below the 20 periods Moving Average
  • Momentum remains bearish, since Rate of Change (6 periods) and MACD are both below 0
  • Considering the above, there is a possibility to see the price moving lower to the previous support and target out of channel at 2258
  • Otherwise, if the price breaks above the 20 periods Moving Average, we may see it testing the upward channel and the previous resistance at 2790