Back

Market Review 1 April 2020

by Constantinos Loizou

  • In today’s Economic calendar we can expect some volatility in the EUR and USD
  • The European Countries will announce in their Markit Manufacturing PMI
  • That number measures the business conditions in the manufacturing sector
  • At 8:00 (GMT), the National Institute of Statistics of Italy will announce their Unemployment Rate
  • The result is forecasted to increase to 10%, considering that last month was 9.8%
  • At 9:00 (GMT), the Eurostat will announce the Unemployment Rate of the European Economy
  • The result is forecasted to remain the same as last month at 7.4%
  • At 12:15 (GMT), the Automatic Data Processing of the USA will announce their Employment Change
  • The result is forecasted to decreased to -154K considering that last month was 183K
  • At 14:00 (GMT), the Institute for Supply Management of the USA will announce their ISM Manufacturing PMI
  • That number shows business conditions in the US Manufacturing sector
  • The result is forecasted to decrease to 45 considering that last month was at 50.1

 

On the charts

 

  • The Germany’s DAX 30 price has broken to the downside from the upward trading channel that was in place from December of 2018 till the first week of March 2020
  • The price in March had sharply fallen to 8,255, almost a 32% decrease
  • That point consists the second target of our channel, a previous support and the 161.8% Fibonacci Extension level (From 10300 to 13795)
  • As expected, the price reacted to the upside testing the 10,300 price level which consists the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level (From 13795 to 8255) and a previous resistance
  • The momentum remains bearish since both ROC (13 Periods) and MACD are below zero
  • The 10 weeks Moving Average (blue) crossed to the downside the 40 weeks Moving Average (red)
  • If the price does not break that level to the upside and this week closes below it, there is a possibility to see the price moving lower to retest the 8,250 level. A breakout below that level, may lead the price to 7,000, the 3rd target of our channel and the 200% Extension level of the previous move (From 10300 to 13795)
  • Otherwise, we may see the price testing the 50% Fibonacci Retracement level, at 11,100