Market Review 2 April 2020

by Constantinos Loizou

  • In today’s Economic calendar we can expect some volatility in the CAD and the USD
  • At 12:30 (GMT), the Statistics office of Canada will announce their International Merchandise Trade figures
  • That number represents the difference between the value of imports and exports of Canada
  • The result is forecasted to decrease to -1.87B considering that last month was at -1.47B
  • At 12:30 (GMT), the Bureau of Economic Analysis of the USA will announce their Trade Balance figures
  • That number represents the difference between the value of imports and exports of the USA
  • The result is forecasted to increase to -40B considering that last month was at -45.3B
  • At 12:30 (GMT), the Department of Labor of the USA will release the Initial Jobless Claims figures
  • That number shows the total of people who have submitted for state unemployment insurance, for the first time
  • That result is forecasted to increase to 3500K considering the last month was at 3283K

 

On the Charts

 

  • As we can observe on the NZD/USD chart, the pair formed a Rising Wedge, which is a bearish formation
  • Price now is at 0.5960, below its 20 periods Moving Average
  • Momentum is bearish, since Rate of Change (13 periods) is below 0 and MACD is testing the zero line
  • Considering the above, there is a possibility to see the price moving lower to 0.5780 – a previous support level or lower to 0.5600, the target of our formation
  • Otherwise, if the price moves higher, we may see it testing the blue trendline or retesting the 61.8% Fibonacci Retracement level (From 0.6450 to 0.5470)